Sep 15, 2022
The Semi-Pro Show Thursday Showdown Bets & DFS
By David S McIvor @SemiproDFS
I’m Sweating.
Why? It’s not gambling related… Hell, not even excitement related (though this is a good game). It’s an accumulation of alcoholism and poor diet choices from a three-day bender at a softball tournament and currently at the tail end of a 17 hour work day. And fam, I’m getting too old for this shit.
Luckily, I was able to drink away the animosity I had toward some results from a wild Week 1 in the NFL. And come into this week with a clear(ish) mindset.
Overview
Both teams coming into this game with a win from last week, one was more visibly dominant than the other. Both teams are also part of the nuttiest division in football, The AFC West, making this game very similar to the Chargers/Raiders desperate playoff-feel from last week. Mahomes is the best QB in the league, Chargers have one of the best deep defenses we have seen in a while. This could get very interesting.
Bets
L.A Chargers +175 @ Kansas City Chiefs -210
Kansas City Chiefs -4.0 Against The Spread
O/U is 54.0
L.A Chargers are coming in without WR1 Keenan Allen, meaning there is very interesting options for the Chargers to make their offense click. Mahomes proved he can throw to whoever, whenever he wants… or is that what we just perceive from a Chiefs team that beat up on a pressured Kyler Murray with a very hurt Cardinals team? Maybe water finds level this week, and that’s why I’m taking L.A Chargers ATS, and the Over. I’m skipping the ML
Showdown DFS
Captain picks:
Gold - A. Ekeler $10,200 (C $15,300)
Silver - P. Mahomes $11,800 (C $17,700)
Bronze - J. Smith-Shuster $8,000 (C $12,000)
Ekeler will be the overall beneficiary of the Allen injury. I expect Herbert to look the Ekeler 1st in every situation and only take deep shots when necessary, dropping my explosive expectations for other wideouts.
Mahomes… Duh, Probably the safest play on the roster. This son bitch even threw his TD’s to his RB… not a single rush TD last week… That’s DFS QB glory
Smith-Shuster announces his arrival at Arrowhead stadium with first TD of the game. Just a hot take.
Good Plays
M. Williams - $9,000 (C $14,400)
T. Kelce - $11,000 (C $16,500)
C. Edwards-Helaire - $8,600 (C $12,900)
Williams is THEE deep threat, and due to his propensity to kill lineups on DFS; I see surprisingly low ownership considering the situation.
Kelce is by far Mahomes favorite option and it’s not even close, this is because of his overall reliability. 8 of 9 targets last week for 121 yards will be hard to recreate. But the volume will be there.
Due to the added Defensive prowess the Chargers bring to the game. Slick plays in the red zone involving Edwards-Helaire ON THE GROUND could be called for.
Value
D. Carter - $4,600 (C $6,900)
Charger DST - $3,200 (C $4,800)
S. Moore - $1,800 (C $2,700)
Carter tied the team for targets last week and was second with 64 yards total + TD.
Chargers DST is a risky shot in the dark seeking for sloppy scrambled passes from Mahomes that don’t find the mark.
The rookie Skyy Moore I have as a shot to land a few long shots down field when the awesome Charger CBs lock down Juju and Hardman
Good Luck!